Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …

From 2013 up to the launch of the ECB’s strategy review in January 2020, inflation in the euro area was low and over …-predicted. This low inflation during the years 2013-19 can be attributed to a combination of interconnected factors. Cyclical … developments account for a substantial share of the fall in underlying inflation, mainly in the first part of the low inflation …

In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is …

estimating the effect on overall headline inflation, we examine effects on its 12 main sub-indices and further sub-categories of … food price inflation. This allows us to disentangle differences in the direction and strength of price effects across … consumption categories. Our results suggest significant positive effects of natural disasters on overall headline inflation, with …

Headline inflation in the euro area jumped to more than three percent in the summer after years of relatively low … inflation rates well below the target of close to but below two percent set by the ECB until July 2021. One of the main reasons … for the rise in inflation is the increase in energy prices since the beginning of 2021. However, there are further …

This paper provides a summary of current knowledge on inflation persistence and price stickiness in the euro area …, based on research findings that have been produced in the context of the Inflation Persistence Network. The main findings … are: i) Under the current monetary policy regime, the estimated degree of inflation persistence in the euro area is …

This paper provides a summary of current knowledge on inflation persistence and price stickiness in the euro area …, based on research findings that have been produced in the context of the Inflation Persistence Network. The main findings … are: i) Under the current monetary policy regime, the estimated degree of inflation persistence in the euro area is …

In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …

Since 2013 the inflation rate in the euro area has fallen steadily, reaching all-time lows at the end of 2014. Market …-based measures of inflation expectations (such as inflation swaps) have also declined to extremely low levels, which suggests … increasing concern about the credibility of the ECB in maintaining price stability. Inflation releases have often surprised …

The existence of nominal rigidities and inflation differentials between countries offers two of the main rationales for … an inflation buffer in a monetary union where monetary policy is oriented towards an area-wide inflation objective … strong argument for a positive inflation buffer to “grease the wheels” of the euro area economy – also in order to avoid the …