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Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604897
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963916
This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991347
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
Part of the present inflation is caused by the breakdown of globalization, in particular supply chains, part is caused … the past and in the presence. This paper attributes inflation decisively to the overwhelming money creation by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553631
the headline CPI, exclusion-based 'cores', and trimmed means as measures of underlying inflation. Overall, we find that … support to the use of trimmed means as useful measures of underlying inflation at the current juncture where the growth of … China and other emerging markets is having two offsetting effects on global inflation. Whereas some central banks have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014054046
and inflation in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country's actual short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317182
Inflation (PCCI), a measure of underlying inflation in the euro area. The PCCI reflects the view that underlying inflation … component of inflation. Methodologically, it relies on a generalised dynamic factor model estimated on a large set of … disaggregated HICP inflation rates for 12 euro area countries. For each individual inflation rate, we estimate a low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301116
Surprisingly it did not, or at least not directly. Using micro data on consumer prices and sectoral inflation rates … has altered the behaviour of retail price setting and/or inflation dynamics. We find no evidence that anything has changed … earlier patterns. On the contrary, we do find evidence of a decline in the persistence of the inflation process in the mid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604643
This paper provides a summary of current knowledge on inflation persistence and price stickiness in the euro area …, based on research findings that have been produced in the context of the Inflation Persistence Network. The main findings … are - i) Under the current monetary policy regime, the estimated degree of inflation persistence in the euro area is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606198