and inflation in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country's actual short …

In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is …

, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …

the implications of digitalisation for measurement, productivity, labour markets and inflation, as well as more recent …

Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …

, notwithstanding that inflation in some countries tends to converge towards the euro area level. Overa11, inflation persistence has …

Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …

estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one-quarter and one-year ahead) and the medium term (two-year and …

Inflation rates in the euro area have reached historic highs due in large part to high energy prices. As the euro area … is a net importer of energy, one refers to this inflation as imported inflation. There is a danger that these high … inflation rates will become entrenched in inflation expectations. This would not only imply that high inflation rates will …