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Although most research on directional analysis focused on either increase/decrease or acceleration/deceleration of variables of interest, we jointly evaluate the two directional changes in the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) predicted by corporate executives. We apply an approach recently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083037
We examine asymmetry in the loss function of corporate executives in their exchange rate forecasts and test for rationality of the forecast under the assumption of a possibly asymmetric loss function. We find evidence that the loss function of the forecast with a 1-year horizon is symmetric and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083047
We investigate the directional accuracy of exchange rate forecasts by corporate executives. We find that a forecast with a 1-year horizon is valuable for the profitability and unprofitability predictions of manufacturers, although previous studies provide considerable evidence that forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078513