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Evaluating strategic directional probability predictions of exchange rates

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Consistent judgemental directional probability exchange rate predictions

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Performance evaluation of judgemental directional exchange rate predictions

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The influence of trend strength on directional probabilistic currency predictions

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The influence of trend strength on directional probabilistic currency predictions

Wilkie-Thomson, Mary E.; Önkal, Dilek; Pollock, AndrewC.; … - In: Financial modelling : proceedings of the 23rd Meeting …, (pp. 401-425). 1999

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Currency forecasting : an investigation of extrapolative judgement

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Effects of trend strength and direction on performance and consistency in judgmental exchange rate forecasting

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Effects of trend strength and direction on performance and consistency in judgmental exchange rate forecasting

Thomson, Mary E.; Pollock, Andrew C.; Gönül, M. Sinan; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 29 (2013) 2, pp. 337-353

Using real financial data, this study examines the influence of trend direction and strength on judgmental exchange rate forecasting performance and consistency. Participants generated forecasts for each of 20 series. Half of the participants also answered two additional questions regarding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051444