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A common finding in the international-economics literature is that the elasticity of substitution between domestically produced and imported goods is smaller in the short than in the long run. Despite this, most of today's commonly used macroeconomic models assume this elasticity to be constant....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437790
We decompose the correlation between relative consumption and the real exchange rate into its dynamic components at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110295
We study a cross section of carry-trade-generated currency excess returns in terms of their exposure to global fundamental macroeconomic risk. The cross-country high-minuslow (HML) conditional skewness of the unemployment gap - our measure of global macroeconomic uncertainty - is a factor that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517046
to producers it could lead to a decline in aggregate domestic consumption. This was based on the assumption that wages do … addition to the exchange rate itself, exchange rate uncertainty could also affect domestic consumption. We demonstrate our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104150
We estimate a Factor Augmented Vector autoregression (FAVAR) to identify idiosyncratic exchange rate shocks and examine the effects of these shocks on different sectors of the economy. We find that an unexpected shock to the exchange rate has significant effects on the tradable sector of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072839
estimate the impulse responses of the output gap, the growth of consumption, investment, and savings to a contractionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832976
The Great Financial Crisis of 2007-09 confirmed the vital importance of advancing our understanding of macrofinancial linkages, the two-way interactions between the real economy and the financial sector. The crisis was a bitter reminder of how sharp fluctuations in asset prices, credit and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929483
revenue and, thus, is perceived to affect aggregate consumption expenditure in Nigeria. This paper employed Nonlinear ARDL … consumption in Nigeria from 1981 to 2016. Variables of interest in the paper were oil export earnings (OEE), consumer price index … (CPI) as proxy for inflation, nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) and final consumption expenditure (FCE). Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827186
The goal of our research is testing of presence and background examination of Backus–Smith puzzle in the EU. The research is based on the technique of econometric analysis of panel data, i.e. on the estimation of one-way/two-way error component models and models without effects. The results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965085
Because durable goods have the quality of an asset, risk-averse consumers want to pay a lower price for durable than for nondurable goods so that they are compensated for the risk of price changes; they require risk premium. Since the exchange rate is a strong source of uncertainty in import...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068232