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In this paper, we study the effectiveness of carry trade strategies during and after the financial crisis using a flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return components, which exhibit much greater predictability...
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and the effect of exchange rate uncertainty on such investment. Firms competing in a domestic final good market meet their … oligopolistic intermediate good market abroad. Exchange rate uncertainty affects the cost of procuring input in both cases. Firms … linear market demand and constant returns technology, we show that an increase in foreign exchange variability has a positive …
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