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We propose a simple method for measuring systemic sovereign credit risk in the Eurozone by linking sovereign defaults to currency shocks. The framework rests on the assumption that systemic sovereign credit risk is high when sovereign defaults induce large shocks to the Euro currency market. We...
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The aim of the article is to verify the impact of the ban on uncovered sCDS trade in Europe on the interdependencies between the sCDS market and other sectors of financial markets. We analyse two European markets: the safe and developed Swedish market, and the risky and developing Hungarian one....
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-variate GARCH-in-mean model and volatility spillovers. The empirical results show the significant effects (positive and negative …, respectively) of the stock market returns, interest rate, and exchange rate volatility of the financial sector during the crisis …. Besides, we find, in most cases, significant (positive and negative, respectively) volatility spillovers from market return …
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We analyze time-varying exchange rate co-movements and volatility spillovers between the Czech koruna, the Polish zloty … volatilities are due to each currency's own history. However, during the distress periods volatility spillovers among currencies …
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