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This paper uses multi-country data for the period 1973-1994 to investigate five key conditions in international finance- purchasing power parity, the Fisher equation, uncovered interest parity, and the equity-return analogues of the latter two. The results are largely consistent with theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014028730
This paper analyses empirically the purchasing power parity, the uncovered interest parity and the real interest parity (Fisher parity) between Poland and Germany. The international parity relations are investigated jointly within the cointegrated VAR framework. Our analysis fails to find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014216574
This paper studies the impact of credit rating agency (CRA) downgrade announcements on the value of the Euro and the yields of French, Italian, German and Spanish long-term sovereign bonds during the culmination of the Eurozone debt crisis in 2011-2012. The employed GARCH models show that CRA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003953
This paper assesses the uncovered interest parity (UIP) condition by means of Indian government bonds during the 1869 to 1906 period. As emphasised by Irving Fisher, interest and exchange rates between Britain and India from that period concur closely with the theoretical assumptions of UIP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760145
and nominal exchange rates are used, where Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovenia and Hungary … for Poland are identified. Conversely, for Slovenia, Hungary, Ireland and Spain merely short-term links resulted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003836940
In this paper we confront the data with the financial-market folk wisdom that monetary policy is one of the key drivers of nominal exchange rates. Focusing on measures of conventional and unconventional monetary policy, we find that monetary policy surprises and changes in expectations about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970168
In this paper, I show that sign and magnitude of the contemporaneous exchange rates-interest rate (ER-IR) correlation are predictable, across countries and through the risk cycle. I discuss the correlation smile, whereby the ER-IR correlation for countries at both extremes of the risk spectrum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030010
The exchange rate level is priced within the consumption model. Risk premia arise endogenously from covariance with future consumption. By arbitrage, and in efficient markets, all risks in the exchange rate are replicated from inflation-linked bonds, except the risk of permanent real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492275
This paper uses information contained in the cross-country yield curves to test the asset-pricing approach to exchange rate determination, which models the nominal exchange rate as the discounted present value of its expected future fundamentals. Since the term structure of interest rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134797
The nominal exchange rate is both a macroeconomic variable equilibrating international markets and a financial asset that embodies expectations and prices risks associated with cross border currency holdings. Recognizing this, we adopt a joint macro-finance strategy to model the exchange rate....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142957