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inflation volatility.Also, causality tests results indicate that changes in the exchangerate, output gap volatility, and output … gap will have permanent andtemporary causal effects on inflation volatility. The policymakersshould carefully consider … these results to implement appropriatepolicies to reduce inflation volatility. The finding that the shocks areof temporary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312187
prices in Nigeria for the period 1995Q1 - 2015Q1. Utilizing the Johansen approach to cointegration and a vector error … correction methodology, the paper found the exchange rate pass-through into Nigeria's CPI inflation to be incomplete. The long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460225
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360438
This paper measures the pass-through of exchange rate changes into domestic inflation within a cointegrated VAR (CVAR … inflation levels. Using quarterly data for 12 EA covering 1980:1 to 2010:4, we report a large degree of heterogeneity in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346364
The article provides estimates of short-run and medium-run exchange rate pass-through into domestic prices in Russia during the period of 2000–2012 using vector error correction model. Exchange rate pass-through asymmetry estimates, its assessments on different sub-periods and exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398366
Although the link between oil prices and dollar exchange rates has been frequently analyzed, a clear distinction between prices and nominal exchange rate dynamics and a clarification of the issue of causality has not been provided. In addition, previous studies have mostly neglected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771139
up in the following: i) the pass-through to the next month inflation is around 0.04 percentage points (p.p.) (0.48 p ….p. over the annualized inflation); ii) a shock on the unemployment rate lasts for 18 months; iii) a shock on the expectations … are carried to the next month inflation (0.58 p.p. over the annualized inflation); and iv) a shock on the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009553780
inflation is found to be quite sensitive to the unemployment gap. An increase in cyclical unemployment by 1 percentage point … will reduce inflation by approximately 0.6 percentage points within a year. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583137
Forecasts of inflation in the United States since the mid eighties have had smaller errors than in the past, but those … their own "Great Moderation." For those countries that did not attain macroeconomic stability, inflation forecasting … monetary regime does, makes possible the estimation of parsimonious inflation models for all available data (eight decades for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568466
authors examine the exchange rate influence on the inflation in Switzerland, separately for the pre-crisis and the …-through into inflation. Despite the effect's moderate influence, the decline was not immediate. The authors additionally analysed … intervention than from the precrisis period. The exchange rate effect on inflation was thus in a better accordance with theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751859