Regression model for the period 1995Q1 to 2018Q2. The empirical evidence reveals the existence of two inflation regimes during … the period under review. Food inflation, energy inflation, firms’ marginal cost, and imported inflation account for most … exchange rate solely explains price changes in the composite consumers’ basket when inflation switches to high regime …

This paper measures the pass-through of exchange rate changes into domestic inflation within a cointegrated VAR (CVAR … inflation levels. Using quarterly data for 12 EA covering 1980:1 to 2010:4, we report a large degree of heterogeneity in the …

up in the following: i) the pass-through to the next month inflation is around 0.04 percentage points (p.p.) (0.48 p ….p. over the annualized inflation); ii) a shock on the unemployment rate lasts for 18 months; iii) a shock on the expectations … are carried to the next month inflation (0.58 p.p. over the annualized inflation); and iv) a shock on the inflation rate …

Forecasts of inflation in the United States since the mid eighties have had smaller errors than in the past, but those … their own "Great Moderation." For those countries that did not attain macroeconomic stability, inflation forecasting … monetary regime does, makes possible the estimation of parsimonious inflation models for all available data (eight decades for …

five different country pairs in the post-Bretton-Woods era. We find evidence for the symmetry of the cointegration space …, which is of practical importance as it allows for the identification of the cointegration vectors in much smaller systems …

decouple the two-country macro dynamics of country averages and country differences such that the cointegration analysis can be …