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Exchange-rates volatility in Nigeria : application of GARCH models with exogenous break
Bala, Dahiru A.; Asemota, Joseph O. - In: CBN journal of applied statistics 4 (2013) 1, pp. 89-116
This paper examines exchange-rate volatility with GARCH models using monthly exchange-rate return series from 1985:1 to … compare estimates of variants of GARCH models with break in respect of the US dollar rates with exogenously determined break … estimation of volatility models with breaks as against those of GARCH models without volatility breaks and that the introduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476095
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Exchange-rates volatility in Nigeria: Application of GARCH models with exogenous break
Bala, Dahiru A.; Asemota, Joseph O. - In: CBN Journal of Applied Statistics 04 (2013) 1, pp. 89-116
This paper examines exchange-rate volatility with GARCH models using monthly exchange-rate return series from 1985:1 to … compare estimates of variants of GARCH models with break in respect of the US dollar rates with exogenously determined break … estimation of volatility models with breaks as against those of GARCH models without volatility breaks and that the introduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482587
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Modelling the oil price –exchange rate nexus for South Africa
Fowowe, Babajide - In: Economie Internationale (2014) 140, pp. 36-48
model the volatility and jumps in exchange rate returns by using the GARCH autoregressive conditional jump intensity model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011082285
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Minor nuisance around foreign exchange markets : lessons from the stability and growth pact debate
Bauer, Matthias; Zenker, Martin - 2011
This paper studies the impact of political events that systematically undermined the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) on the euro's foreign exchange expectation bias for the period 2001 to 2005. Our findings suggest that euro foreign exchange markets were attentive to the political dispute over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009569731
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El spread de intermediación en una economía emergente bajo distintos regímenes macroeconómicos : Argentina, 1994 - 2013
Aguirre, Horacio; Burdisso, Tamara; Grillo, Federico; … - 2015
We study the interest rate spread of the Argentine financial system during the last eighteen years. We analyze Granger causality of selected variables, and estimate econometric models that relate spread to macroeconomic and microeconomic factors. Resuls indicate that output growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333386
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Non-parametric estimation of intraday spot volatility : disentangling Instantaneous Trend and Seasonality
Vatter, Thibault; Wu, Hau-tieng; Chavez-Demoulin, Valérie - In: Econometrics : open access journal 3 (2015) 4, pp. 864-887
We provide a new framework for modeling trends and periodic patterns in high-frequency financial data. Seeking adaptivity to ever-changing market conditions, we enlarge the Fourier flexible form into a richer functional class: both our smooth trend and the seasonality are non-parametrically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411344
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Analysing oil price- macroeconomic volatility in Nigeria
Abdulkareem, Alhassan; Abdulhakeem, Kilishi A. - In: CBN journal of applied statistics 7 (2016) 1, pp. 1-22
paper employed GARCH model and its variants (GARCH-M, EGARCH and TGARCH) with daily, monthly and quarterly data. The … oil price) are highly volatile; the asymmetric models (TGARCH and EGARCH) outperform the symmetric models (GARCH (1 1) and … GARCH - M); and oil price is a major source of macroeconomic volatility in Nigeria. By implication, the Nigerian economy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460195
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Effects of financial crises on the long memory volatility dependency of foreign exchange rates : the asian crisis vs. the global crisis
Han, Young Wook - In: Journal of East Asian economic integration 18 (2014) 1, pp. 3-27
This paper examines the effects of financial crises on the long memory volatility dependency of daily exchange returns focusing on the Asian crisis in 97-98 and the Global crisis in 08-09. By using the daily KRW-USD and JPY-USD exchange rates which have different trading regions and volumes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568197
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Short patches of outliers, ARCH and volatility modeling
Franses, Philip Hans; Dijk, Dick van; Lucas, André - 1998
In this paper we test for (Generalized) AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [(G)ARCH] in daily data on 22 … exchange rates and 13 stock market indices using the standard Lagrange Multiplier [LM] test for GARCH and a LM test that is … significant effects on test outcomes. Our main empirical result is that we find spurious GARCH in about 40% of the cases, while in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011284080
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Quantitative comparisons on the intrinsic features of foreign exchange rates between the 1920s and the 2010s : case of the USD-GBP exchange rate
Han, Young Wook - In: East Asian economic review 20 (2016) 3, pp. 365-390
This paper quantitatively compares the intrinsic features of the daily USD-GBP exchange rates in two different periods, the 1920s and the 2010s, under the same freely floating exchange rate system. Even though the foreign exchange markets in the 1920s seem to be much less organized and developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011765010