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The Great Financial Crisis of 2007-09 confirmed the vital importance of advancing our understanding of macrofinancial linkages, the two-way interactions between the real economy and the financial sector. The crisis was a bitter reminder of how sharp fluctuations in asset prices, credit and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929483
A DSGE model with a Taylor rule is augmented with an evolutionary switching between technical and fundamental analyses in currency trade, where the fractions of these trading tools are determined within the model. Then, a shock hits the economy. As a result, chaotic dynamics and long swings may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014222710
In this paper we highlight a new channel through which dollar fluctuations can become a self-fulfilling pro-cyclical force. We call this mechanism "Imperial Circle" as it makes the dollar the dominant macroeconomic variable in the context of the current international monetary system. At the core...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013490639
The paper provides probability estimates of the state of the GDP growth. A regime-switching model defines the probability of the Greek GDP being in boom or recession. Then probit models extract the predictive information of a set of explanatory (economic and financial) variables regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312197
volatility, especially in the past decade. Nevertheless, dollarised countries benefit from higher levels of investment and trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014422437
We examine the role of oil price shocks in effecting changes both at the aggregate and sectoral levels using an estimated dynamic stochastic equilibrium open economy model. Our main finding is that energy price shocks are not able directly to generate the magnitude of the economic downturn...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471615
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428342
a dynamic multicountry model of international trade, production, and investment to data from 19 countries to assess this … resolving a number of the puzzles: The dependence of domestic investment on domestic saving falls by half or disappears entirely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010717
a dynamic multicountry model of international trade, production, and investment to data from 19 countries to assess this … resolving a number of the puzzles: The dependence of domestic investment on domestic saving falls by half or disappears entirely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456897
with macroeconomic theory, however, interactions between financing and investment activities within the Nigerian economy … investment financing have dissimilar effects on future realizations of inflation and exchange rates. My findings provide evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048522