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We analyze the implied volatility smile of a lognormal distribution on a on a 6 – month EUR/USD call currency option … contract using a random standard normal variable. There is significant time variation in the implied volatility smile and the … estimates of a risk adjusted measure. Deep in or out of the money contract has higher implied volatility. We have found that the …
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Option prices seem to behave in ways inconsistent with the Black-Scholes model. Implied volatility varies with the … strike price in a parabolic shape that is often called the volatility 'smile.' My objective in this paper is to identify … promising in explaining the volatility smile. Applying this to the ERM data, I find that the probability of a devaluation in the …
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vorherzusagen, oder aber nur um den Wert anderer Derivative, die sich auf den gleichen Basiswert beziehen, zu berechnen. Die in …
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Risk neutral densities (RND) can be used to forecast the price of the underlying basis for the option, or it may be used to price other derivates based on the same sequence. The method adopted in this paper to calculate the RND is to firts estimate daily the diffusion process of the underlying...
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