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certain foreign exchange and U.S. Treasury security returns without contaminating estimates of their integrated volatility … without contaminating volatility estimates; bond returns may be sampled as frequently as once every 2 to 3 minutes on days … higher than those often recommended in the empirical literature on realized volatility in equity markets. The higher sampling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218882
volatility and a low volatility regime, respectively. Uncertainty arises during the transition between regimes in the late 1990s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909693
also increased its volatility. Downgrading increased the yields of French, Italian and Spanish bonds but lowered the German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206145
We assess the impact of large-scale asset purchases, commonly known as quantitative easing (QE), conducted by Sveriges Riksbank and the European Central Bank (ECB) on bond risk premia in the Swedish government bond market. Using a novel arbitrage-free dynamic term structure model of nominal and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014517711
We study a segmented-markets setting in which self-fulfilling volatility can arise. The only requirements are (i) asset … valuation ratios stationary (e.g., cash flow growth rises when valuations rise). We prove that when self-fulfilling volatility … susceptible to self-fulfilling fluctuations. The tight theoretical connection between price volatility and arbitrage is detectable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260973
This paper examines exchange-rate volatility with GARCH models using monthly exchange-rate return series from 1985:1 to … points. Our results reveal presence of volatility in the three currencies and equally indicate that most of the asymmetric … models rejected the existence of a leverage effect except for models with volatility break. Evaluating the models through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482587
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and … indices and foreign exchange rates. -- Stochastic volatility ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Metropolis-Hastings algorithm Jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770817
We present evidence that the growth of U.S.-dollar-denominated banking sector liabilities forecasts appreciations of the U.S. dollar, both in-sample and out-of-sample, against a large set of foreign currencies. We provide a theoretical foundation for a funding liquidity channel in a global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399316
exchange rate volatility. Eventually, the model offers a solution to the exchange rate disconnection puzzle. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373501
In this study a regime switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (c&f) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The c&f model is tested against alternative regime switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765353