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A functional ARMA-GARCH model for predicting the value-at-risk of the EURUSD exchange rate is introduced. The model implements the yield curve differentials between EUR and the US as exogenous factors. Functional principal component analysis allows us to use the information of basically the...
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The ultimate object of research concerning the Euro is to answer the following questions: (#1) What is the equilibrium trajectory of the nominal euro, measured as dollars/euro? (#2) To what extent has the equilibrium nominal euro been determined by relative prices (PPP), and to what extent has...
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undervaluation or overvaluation of the euro, and calculate its misalignment. The problem however arises of how to assess the … reliability of such misalignment calculations. In our opinion, we must have a benchmark (namely a period in which we exactly know … from outside sources the misalignment itself), against which we can test the validity of the model underlying our …
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This paper examines the impact of real effective exchange rate misalignment on economic growth in Nigeria using an … exchange rate regime is characterized by a relatively lower real exchange rate misalignment over time compared with the fixed … exchange rate regime. The GMM estimate reveals that real exchange rate misalignment has negative but significant impact on …
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