This study analyzes foreign exchange (FX) cash flow and equity exposures of a sample of U.S. multinational firms. Focusing on asymmetry in FX cash flow exposures to direction and magnitude of FX shocks, the study finds that asymmetry is pervasive in several alternative measures of FX cash flow...

Using the framework of the International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM), we explore two central topics associated with equity foreign exchange (FX) risk premia. First, we estimate FX risk premia for a large cross-section of firms. Second, we study the diversifiability of FX risk. Using...

This paper features an analysis of major currency exchange rate movements in relation to the US dollar, as constituted in US dollar terms. Euro, British pound, Chinese yuan, and Japanese yen are modelled using a variety of non-linear models, including smooth transition regression models,...

This paper features an analysis of major currency exchange rate movements in relation to the US dollar, as constituted in US dollar terms. Euro, British pound, Chinese yuan, and Japanese yen are modelled using a variety of non-linear models, including smooth transition regression models,...

This paper investigates the nature of observed deviations from the unbiased expectations hypothesis in the forward foreign exchange market. If these deviations are due to risk premia then the same premia should be observed in nominal bonds denominated in different currencies. This condition...

Carry trades are speculative activities which involve simultaneously going short a low-rate currency and long a high-rate currency. They are profitable as long as the gains from interest rate differentials are not offset by exchange rate movements. In this paper I investigate the dynamic...

We investigate the drivers of daily changes in the exchange value of the Chinese currency (CNY) since early 2016, when a new regime was introduced for setting the fix—the midpoint of the CNY's daily trading range against the U.S. dollar. Daily changes in the fix, which is announced just prior...

It is surprisingly difficult to find economic variables that strongly co-move with exchange rates, a phenomenon codified in a large literature on “exchange rate disconnect.” We demonstrate that a variety of common proxies for global risk appetite, which did not co-move with exchange rates...

It is surprisingly difficult to find economic variables that strongly co-move with exchange rates, a phenomenon codified in a large literature on ``exchange rate disconnect.'' We demonstrate that a variety of common proxies for global risk appetite, which did not co-move with exchange rates...

This paper introduces a Heterogeneous Agent Model (HAM) for foreign exchange fund managers, and estimates it on currency trader indices. Fund managers dynamically allocate capital conditional on recent performance to a value strategy, a momentum strategy, and a carry strategy. Estimation results...