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This paper investigates the predictive properties of import and export prices of commodities on the exchange rates. A … period from 1993 to 2016 is considered. We find that forecasts of the exchange rate adding commodity export and import prices …
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Inflation Expectations survey perform relative to the random-walk forecast when it comes to predicting five financial variables …-walk forecast for the repo rate and Prague Interbank Offered Rate at the onemonth forecasting horizon. For the five-year and ten … horizons. For the CZE/EUR exchange rate, no statistically significant differences in forecast precision were found. …
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standard empirical estimations of India's export supply and import demand functions using data from the Reserve Bank of India …
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competitiveness factors that affect Canada's global import market share. Third, the relative price of exports is determined by a new … that the new equations improve the in-sample fit and the out-of-sample forecast accuracy relative to the current equation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586555
The nominal effective exchange rate (EER) of a currency is an index of the tradeweighted average of its bilateral exchange rates vis-à-vis the currencies of selected trading partners, while the real EER is derived by adjusting the nominal index for relative prices or costs. The nominal EER...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558999
Factors determining United States’ trade balance with Italy (NE) are examined, and tests for long run relationships performed. Results suggest the main determinant of NE is the output ratio, followed by the price ratio, real exchange rate, lending rate ratio, and the money supply ratio, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008482005
This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … Bayesian VAR approach, we observe that effects on forecast errors of professionals turn out to be more significant compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532311