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Short patches of outliers, ARCH and volatility modeling
Franses, Philip Hans; Dijk, Dick van; Lucas, André - 1998
In this paper we test for (Generalized) AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [(G)ARCH] in daily data on 22 exchange rates and 13 stock market indices using the standard Lagrange Multiplier [LM] test for GARCH and a LM test that is resistant to patches of additive outliers. The data span...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011284080
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Noisy news and exchange rates : a SVAR approach
Redl, Chris - In: Journal of international money and finance 58 (2015), pp. 150-171
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011478251
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Nonlinear relationship between exchange rate volatility and economic growth
Phiri, Andrew - 2018
In this paper, we challenge the traditional assumption of a linear relationship between exchange rate volatility and … volatility positively and significantly influences economic growth when growth in government spending is below 6 percent. Above … this 6 percent threshold, volatility exerts an insignificant effect on economic growth. In light of the adoption of a free …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870188
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The long-run validity of PPP in some major advanced and emerging countries using alternative models
Kyei-Mensah, Justice - In: Cogent economics & finance 11 (2023) 1, pp. 1-26
The study examines whether the long-run validity of PPP holds in some major advanced and developing economies. The study employed the smooth time-varying cointegration (TVC) and time-varying detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) methodology, and we are not aware of any study that has applied TVC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500904
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Model-based estimation of high frequency jump diffusions with microstructure noise and stochastic volatility
Bos, Charles S. - 2008
When analysing the volatility related to high frequency financial data, mostly non-parametric approaches based on … stochastic volatility. Estimation of the model delivers measures of daily variation outperforming their non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374428
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Drivers of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries : evidence from a FAVAR analysis
Dreger, Christian; Fidrmuc, Jarko - 2011
We investigate the likely sources of exchange rate dynamics in selected member countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS; Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, and Moldova) over the past decade (1999-2010). Evidence is based on country VARs augmented by a regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518862
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Drivers of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries : evidence from a FAVAR analysis
Dreger, Christian; Fidrmuc, Jarko - 2009
We investigate the likely sources of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries (Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, and Moldova) over the past decade (1999-2008). The analysis is based on country VAR models augmented by a regional common factor structure (FAVAR model)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387304
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Private sector credit and inflation volatility
Katusiime, Lorna - In: Economies : open access journal 6 (2018) 2, pp. 1-13
This paper investigates the effect of inflation volatility on private sector credit growth. The results indicate that … private sector credit growth is positively linked to the one period lagged inflation volatility. Given that past monetary … positive response of private sector credit growth to past inflation volatility suggests a credible monetary policy regime in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853882
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Oil price drivers, geopolitical uncertainty and oil exporters' currencies
Akram, Qaisar Farooq - 2019
Empirical relationships between crude oil prices and exchange rates of oil exporting countries tend to vary over time. I use econometric models of the norwegian and canadian nominal exchange rates to investigate whether such time-variation could reflect shifts in the key oil price drivers over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214320
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A fundamental connection : exchange rates and macroeconomic expectations
Stavrakeva, Vania; Tang, Jenny - 2020 - This version: December 2020
This paper presents new stylized facts about exchange rates and their relationship with macroeconomic fundamentals. We show that macroeconomic surprises explain a large majority of the variation in nominal exchange rate changes at a quarterly frequency. Using a novel present value decomposition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429208