In this paper we propose a generalisation of the noise trader transmission mechanism to examine the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rates. Within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model intervention operations are supposed to provide support to either chartist or...

This paper re-investigates the implications of monetary policy rules on changes in exchange rate, in a risk-adjusted, uncovered interest parity model with unrestricted parameters, emphasizing the importance of modeling market expectations of monetary policy. I use consensus forecasts as a proxy...

We present a simple behavioral model with chartists and fundamentalists and analyze their trading behavior in a floating regime and in a target zone regime. Regarding the floating regime the model replicates the well-known stylized facts like excessive volatility, fat tails, volatility...

In this paper we propose a generalisation of the noise trader transmission mechanism to examine the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rates. Within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model intervention operations are supposed to provide support to either chartist or...

This paper deals with hysteresis in the desired equilibrium exchange rate (DEER) arising from misalignment. When the actual real exchange rate departs from its DEER value current account realizations--and consequently debt service obligations--will differ from those assumed in the initial DEER...

In managed floats, central banks often intervene in the foreign exchange market to obtain politically desirable exchange rates. How this is done has remained totally opaque although central banks are likely to adopt a satisfying rather than optimizing strategy since they need to intervene...

This paper re-investigates the implications of monetary policy rules on changes in exchange rate, in a risk-adjusted, uncovered interest parity model with unrestricted parameters, emphasizing the importance of modeling market expectations of monetary policy. I use consensus forecasts as a proxy...

Factor analysis performed on a panel of 23 nominal exchange rates from January 1999 to December 2010 yields three common factors. This paper identifies the euro/dollar, Swiss-franc/dollar and yen/dollar exchange rates as empirical counterparts to these common factors. These empirical factors...

În ultimele decenii, utilizarea cursurilor valutare drept ancore nominale de fixare a preţurilor pare să cunoască un declin. Totuşi, pentru unele ţări, ţintirea cursurilor valutare ar putea fi o soluţie la actualele circumstanţe. În această lucrare vom aborda câteva elemente...

Comovements of exchange rates before and during Asian financialcrisis are examined using cross-spectral methodology. The paper proposes and implements a simple frequency-domain-based test for contagion that avoids biases of the correlation breakdown tests used in the extant literature. The Asian...