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There is increasing demand for models of time-varying and non-Gaussian dependencies for mul- tivariate time-series. Available models suffer from the curse of dimensionality or restrictive assumptions on the parameters and the distribution. A promising class of models are the hierarchical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003953027
When analysing the volatility related to high frequency financial data, mostly non-parametric approaches based on … stochastic volatility. Estimation of the model delivers measures of daily variation outperforming their non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374428
's dynamic properties may lead to misestimation of the intraday spot volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411344
This chapter reviews the rapid advances in foreign exchange volatility modeling made in the last three decades …. Academic researchers have sought to fit the three major characteristics of foreign exchange volatility: intraday periodicity … improve volatility and jumps estimates. Researchers also found it useful to incorporate information about periodic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107841
Two volatility forecasting evaluation measures are considered; the squared one-day ahead forecast error and its … standardized version. The mean squared forecast error is the widely accepted evaluation function for the realized volatility … standardized with its volatility. The statistical properties of the forecast errors point the standardized version as a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910114
This paper examines the effects of financial crises on the long memory volatility dependency of daily exchange returns …-parametric Local Whittle method to estimate the long memory volatility dependency of the daily returns and the temporally aggregated … returns of the two exchange rates. Then it compares the effects of the two financial crises on the long memory volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006577
This paper offers an empirical explanation behind the dynamics of the overall volatility of exchange rates and its high …-frequency, most economically destabilizing components. Spectral methodology is employed to isolate the portion of volatility … attributable to high-frequency components, and panel regressions are used to relate the volatility measures to various …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055583
This paper proposes an enhanced approach to modeling and forecasting volatility using high frequency data. Using a … forecasting model based on Realized GARCH with multiple time-frequency decomposed realized volatility measures, we study the … influence of different timescales on volatility forecasts. The decomposition of volatility into several timescales approximates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036998
; realised exchange-rate volatility ; risk management ; fat tailed distributions ; kernel density estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743815
This paper examines the effects of financial crises on the long memory volatility dependency of daily exchange returns …-parametric Local Whittle method to estimate the long memory volatility dependency of the daily returns and the temporally aggregated … returns of the two exchange rates. Then it compares the effects of the two financial crises on the long memory volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568197