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This paper presents new stylized facts about exchange rates and their relationship with macroeconomic fundamentals. We show that macroeconomic surprises explain a large majority of the variation in nominal exchange rate changes at a quarterly frequency. Using a novel present value decomposition...
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exchange rate and the interest rate differential as well as central bank announcements, and then a Cointegrated Smooth … and stable rate. Also, central bank announcements have a more sizeable short-run effect in the nonlinear model. Finally …
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explains why exchange market sensitivity to the employment announcements has increased over time …
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