The problem is to evaluate the likelihood that a country will face a currency or balance of payments crisis over a given horizon. When is it rational for market participants to expect a depreciation of the currency? On the basis of considerable empirical studies we know that in both banking and...

The problem is to evaluate the likelihood that a country will face a currency or balance of payments crisis over a given horizon. When is it rational for market participants to expect a depreciation of the currency? On the basis of considerable empirical studies we know that in both banking and...

This paper finds that limited exchange rate flexibility in the form of "fear of appreciation" significantly slows adjustment of current account imbalances, providing novel support for Friedman's conjecture regarding exchange-rate flexibility. We present a new stylized fact: floaters have faster...

The endogeneity of exchange-rate regimes / Barry Eichengreen -- Exchange-rate behavior under alternative exchange-rate arrangements / Mark P. Taylor -- Panel : one money for how many? / Richard N. Cooper, Ronald I. McKinnon, Michael Mussa -- Exchange rates, prices, and external adjustment in the...