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same public information and similar evaluation methods, and because of social learning or herding amongst peers. We analyse … problem and to quantitatively assess answers regarding the initial questions. We find strong evidence for herding in …) included in the model. Compared to counterfactual expectations without herding constructed from the estimates, herding seems to …
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The paper investigates social-learning when the information structure is not commonly known. Individuals repeatedly interact in social-learning settings with distinct information structures. In each round of interaction, they use their experience gained in past rounds to draw inferences from...
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forecaster's own forecast. This looks like herding. In our survey, forecasters do not herd for reputational reasons, however …. Instead of herding, we suggest that forecasters form higher-order expectations in the spirit of Keynes (1936). We find that …
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introducing a simple idea of "heterogeneous expectation" and "herding behavior" by which agents in different groups have different … the herding behavior by dividing agents into several groups of varying sizes but with the same expectations. By changing … heterogeneous expectations about prices are combined with herding behavior among agents, so that agents in the same group share the …
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