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An agent wants to derive her belief over outcomes based on past observations collected in her database (memory). There is well establish evidence in the psychology and marketing literature that agents consistently fail (or choose not) to process all available information. An agent might be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403098
We relax the common assumption of homogeneous beliefs in principal-agent relationships with adverse selection. Principals are competitors in the product market and write contracts also on the base of an expected aggregate. The model is a version of a cobweb model. In an evolutionary learning...
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This paper empirically examines the behavioral precautionary saving hypothesis by Koszegi and Rabin (2009) stating that uncertainty about future income triggers saving because of loss aversion. We extend their theoretical analysis to also consider the internal margin, i.e., the strength, of loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438025
This paper examines the empirical question of whether subjects' static choices among rewards received at different times are influenced by their expected income levels at those times. Moreover, we recover time preferences after compensating for possible income effects. Besides eliciting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403760
The higher our aspirations, the higher the probability that we have to adjust them downwards when forming more realistic expectations later on. This paper shows that the costs induced by high aspirations are not trivial. We first develop a theoretical framework to identify the factors that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636049
I study how the price expectation regarding future prices affects consumer purchase behaviour for frequently, non-durable, goods. Using a standard dynamic model of utility maximisation, I show how current purchases depend on expectation about future prices. Then, I use scanner data to provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864848
This paper empirically examines the behavioral precautionary saving hypothesis that uncertainty about future income triggers an increase in saving because of loss aversion. Guided by the theoretical model of Koszegi and Rabin (2009), we first extend their theoretical analysis to also consider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312199