The notion of optimized rational behavior in the formation of expectations is used in this note to study the dynamics of a simple macroeconomic model. In a setting where departures from stability are not possible under perfect foresight, the selection of an optimal degree of rationality may lead...

The New Keynesian model has recently been subject to two serious criticisms: the model cannot produce plausible inflation and output dynamics following a monetary shock, and the stability of its dynamics suffers from indeterminacy. The procedures that have been proposed to eliminate these two...

Asset prices are forward looking. This evidence implies that prices of financial assets are essentially determined by the traders expectations about future prices. Another evidence about asset prices is that these do not seem to follow a predictable pattern over time; we observe periods of high...