According to the expectations channel, a fiscal consolidation may give rise to less contractionary, or even expansionary effects on consumption, despite a decline in current disposable income. Intuitively, people may accumulate a stock of savings in anticipation of the consolidation and may...

A key question in economic research and policymaking is to what extent one can use simplified models. This paper addresses this question by comparing the results of two learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments: one design based on the reduced form of a New-Keynesian model; and one design...