Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 12,018
Cover Image
Overpricing persistence in experimental asset markets with intrinsic uncertainty
Sornette, Didier; Andraszewicz, Sandra; Wu, Ke; Murphy, … - 2020
To study coordination in complex social systems such as financial markets, the authors introduce a new prediction market set-up that accounts for fundamental uncertainty. Nonetheless, the market is designed so that its total value is known, and thus its rationality can be evaluated. In two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012231540
Cover Image
Behavioral uncertainty and the dynamics of traders' confidence in their price forecasts
Hanaki, Nobuyuki; Akiyama, Eizo; Ishikawa, Ryuichiro - In: Journal of economic dynamics & control 88 (2018), pp. 121-136
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011973931
Cover Image
Long-term forecasting with prediction markets : a field experiment on applicability and expert confidence
Graefe, Andreas; Weinhardt, Christof - In: The journal of prediction markets 2 (2008) 2, pp. 69-89
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003766483
Cover Image
On the external validity of experimental inflation forecasts : a comparison with five categories of field expectations
Cornand, Camille; Hubert, Paul - In: Journal of economic dynamics & control 110 (2020), pp. 1-32
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501310
Cover Image
On the external validity of experimental inflation forecasts : a comparison with five categories of field expectations
Cornand, Camille; Hubert, Paul - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052169
Cover Image
Forecasting economic decisions under risk : the predictive importance of choice-process data
Mueller, Steffen Q.; Ring, Patrick; Schmidt, Maria - 2019 - Version: January 2019
We investigate various statistical methods for forecasting risky choices and identify important decision predictors. Subjects (n=44) are presented a series of 50/50 gambles that each involves a potential gain and a potential loss, and subjects can choose to either accept or reject a displayed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964372
Cover Image
Financial forecasting and risky decisions : an experimental study grounded in prospect theory
Shrader, Rodney C.; Simon, Mark; Stanton, Steven - In: International entrepreneurship and management journal 17 (2021) 4, pp. 1827-1841
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012703309
Cover Image
Uncertainty in forecasting inflation and monetary policy design : evidence from the laboratory
Pfajfar, Damjan; Žakelj, Blaž - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 3, pp. 849-864
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621835
Cover Image
The predictive power of luck : luck and risk-taking in a repeated risky investment game
Holden, Stein Terje; Tione, Sarah; Katengeza, Samson; … - 2022
Can luck predict risk-taking behavior in games of chance? Economists have not widely studied this issue although … good and bad luck outcomes in a simple repeated risky investment game affect risk-taking behavior in the following rounds … demonstrate a strong impact of luck on risk-taking behavior that lasts not only to the next round but also into another two follow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417508
Cover Image
Inefficiency in earnings forecasts : experimental evidence of reactions to positive vs. negative information
Stevens, Douglas E.; Williams, Arlington W. - In: Experimental economics : a journal of the Economic … 7 (2004) 1, pp. 75-92
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001915594