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A Bayesian agent evaluates a stream of information over a finite period before deciding on which of two alternatives to adopt. At any point, the agent is free to convert information into an informative, binary signal. When information arrives at a roughly constant rate, an agent who frequently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989419
When do groups and societies choose to be uninformed? We study a committee that needs to vote on a reform which will give every member a private state- dependent payoff. The committee can vote to learn the state at no cost. We show that the committee decides not to learn the state when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934616
We develop a behavioral theory of real options that relaxes the informational and behavioral assumptions underlying applications of financial options theory to real assets. To do so, we augment real option theory's focus on uncertain future asset values (prospective uncertainty) with feedback...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856401
There are many important decision problems where learning through experimentation is costly or impossible. In these situations, individuals may try to learn from observing the outcomes of others who have made similar decisions. Often, however, information about others comprises a selected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011982107
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015048014
We report two information cascade game experiments that directly test the impact of altruism on observational learning. Participants interact in two parallel sequences, the observed and the unobserved sequence. Only the actions of the observed entail informational benefits to subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436128
This paper proposes a behavioral model of social learning that unies various forms of inferential reasoning in one hierarchy of types. Iterated best responses that are based on uninformative level-0 play lead to the following of the private information (level-1), to the following of the majority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490245
Social learning often occurs between groups with different levels of experience. Yet little is known about the ideal behavioral rules in such contexts. Existing insights only apply when individuals learn from each other in the same group. In this paper, we close this gap and consider two groups,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368210
We consider a dynamic model in which a principal decides what information to release about a product of unknown quality (e.g., a vaccine) to incentivize agents to experiment with the product. Assuming that the agents are long-lived and forward-looking, their incentive to wait and see other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015047806
We present a theoretical model of a linear public good game in which heterogeneous players express social approval after observing contributions. The model explains how social approval is expressed and predicts positive contributions if subjects have a preference for social approval. Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009427179