Showing 1 - 10 of 1,726
We use novel survey data to estimate how personal experiences affect household expectations about aggregate economic … systematically extrapolate from recent locally experienced home prices when asked for their expectations about US house price changes … distribution over expected future national house price movements. We find similar results for labor market expectations, where we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376179
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590425
, while they are in line with recent models that focus on anger as the result of the frustration of expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058343
, while they are in line with recent models that focus on anger as the result of the frustration of expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064378
We study the effect of communicating student-specific teacher expectations on academic performance. We randomize … whether students (a) receive high-performance expectations, (b) are additionally paired with a classmate for encouragement, (c …) receive information about past performance, or (d) receive no message. Expectations increase math scores by 0.19σ, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015075980
, recurring bubbles arise, where the price is 3 times larger than the fundamental value, which were not seen in former experiments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333057
, recurring bubbles arise, where the price is 3 times larger than the fundamental value, which were not seen in former experiments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015942
We study the emergence of bubbles in a laboratory experiment with large groups of individuals. The realized price is … the aggregation of the forecasts of a group of individuals, with positive expectations feedback through speculative demand … findings are: (i) large asset bubbles occur in large groups, (ii) information contagion through news affects behaviour and may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892070
We investigate the effect of gender on the price deviation (bubble) from the fundamental value in a learning-to-forecast experiment. Our results show that gender plays a more prominent role in markets with positive expectation feedback than in markets with negative feedback. In both types of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312561
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to … forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants …". We observe both stable markets and large bubbles for both small and large markets. The data analysis shows no differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625