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We propose a new paradigm to study coordination in complex social systems, such as financial markets, that accounts for fundamental uncertainty. This new context has features from prediction markets that have been shown previously to mitigate price bubbles in classical asset market experiments....
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We investigate the extent to which price deviations from fundamental values in an experimental asset market are due to the uncertainty of subjects regarding others' rationality. We do so by comparing the price forecasts submitted by subjects in two market environments: all six traders are human...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097788
To study coordination in complex social systems such as financial markets, the authors introduce a new prediction market set-up that accounts for fundamental uncertainty. Nonetheless, the market is designed so that its total value is known, and thus its rationality can be evaluated. In two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012231540
To study coordination in complex social systems such as financial markets, the authors introduce a new prediction market set -up that accounts for fundamental uncertainty. Nonetheless, the market is designed so that its total value is known, and thus its rationality can be evaluated. In two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001782
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total market value of the firm if pricing is arbitrage-free. We test the empirical validity of this invariance theorem in … invariance for assets of identical risks when returns are perfectly correlated. However, exploiting price discrepancies has risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865734