Showing 1 - 10 of 11,545
Inflation expectations are central to economics because they affect the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy as … well as realized inflation. We survey the recent literature with a focus on the inflation expectations of households. We … first review standard data sources and discuss their advantages and disadvantages. We then document that household inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886870
We present new experimental evidence on heterogeneity in the formation of inflation expectations and relate the … better use of given information. Compared with survey data on inflation expectations, fewer demographic factors are … associated with variation in inflation expectations, and economic literacy in most cases accounts for demographic variation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009376354
A key question in economic research and policymaking is to what extent one can use simplified models. This paper addresses this question by comparing the results of two learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments: one design based on the reduced form of a New-Keynesian model; and one design...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944797
that, counter to theory, the Friedman rule is not welfare improving, performing no better than a constant money regime. By …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850619
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model with new and old behavioral elements. Agents in the model exhibit cognitive discounting, or myopia: they discount variables far into the future at higher rates than typically implied in the benchmark model. We investigate the model under different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012509319
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model with new and old behavioral elements. Agents in the model exhibit cognitive discounting, or myopia: they discount variables far into the future at higher rates than typically implied in the benchmark model. We investigate the model under different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229788
A constant price level facilitates cooperation among firms whereas steady inflation and deflation rates lower firms …' ability to cooperate. In an experimental market with price competition we show that both inflation and deflation signicantly … welfare: depending on the market structure, inflation and deflation lead to significantly lower real prices and higher welfare. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491108
Poor households report significantly higher inflation expectations than rich households. We assess, both theoretically … about aggregate inflation. Using data on shopping experiences, we show that the inflation expectations of each income group … depend on the group's past grocery experiences as well as on past aggregate inflation. To explain this finding, we build a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888936
We study how inflation and deflation affect firms' ability to cooperate in an experimental Bertrand duopoly with … differentiated products. We find that there is significantly less cooperation in the treatments with inflation and deflation compared … to the no-inflation treatments. The difficulties to cooperate affect prices and welfare: Depending on the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207927
interest rate has to respond more than one-for-one to fluctuations in the inflation rate. In our setting, the average inflation … rate fluctuates around the inflation target if the computerized central bank obeys the Taylor principle. If the Taylor … principle is violated, then the average inflation rate persistently deviates from the target. We find that these deviations from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086472