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Rational inattentiveness in a forecasting experiment
Goecke, Henry; Luhan, Wolfgang J.; Roos, Michael W. M. - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 94 (2013), pp. 80-89
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249045
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Towards a better understanding on mitigating algorithm aversion in forecasting : an experimental study
Jung, Markus; Seiter, Mischa - In: Journal of management control 32 (2021) 4, pp. 495-516
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795855
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Forecasting skills in experimental markets : illusion or reality?
Corgnet, Brice; Deck, Cary A.; DeSantis, Mark; Porter, … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418260
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What point of a distribution summarises point predictions?
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
In this article, we study the point predictions that forecasters report when they are asked to predict the realisation of an iid random variable. We set up a laboratory experiment where the participants act as forecasters predicting the next realisation of random draws coming from different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115998
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Comparison of different question formats eliciting point predictions
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
Survey questions that elicit point predictions regarding uncertain events face an important challenge as human forecasters use various statistics to summarise their subjective expectations. In this paper, we take up the challenge and study whether alternative formulations of the questions used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115999
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Models of investor forecasting behavior : experimental evidence
Bonetto, Federico; Cheriyan, Vinod; Kleywegt, Anton J. - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 11 (2018) 1, pp. 1-41
Different forecasting behaviors affect investors’ trading decisions and lead to qualitatively different asset price … forecasting future price changes, and the nature of their confidence when price changes are forecast, determine whether price … forecasting models of all participants that best fit the observed forecasting data were of the type that cause price bubbles and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854982
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Eliciting human judgment for prediction algorithms
Ibrahim, Rouba; Kim, Song-hee; Tong, Jordan - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 67 (2021) 4, pp. 2314-2325
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012522196
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How well do experience curves predict technological progress? : a method for making distributional forecasts
Lafond, François; Bailey, Aimee Gotway; Bakker, Jan David - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 128 (2018), pp. 104-117
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011957121
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Forecasting skills in experimental markets : illusion or reality?
Corgnet, Brice; Deck, Cary A.; DeSantis, Mark; Porter, … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 68 (2022) 7, pp. 5216-5232
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369295
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Algorithm aversion? : on the influence of advice accuracy on trust in algorithmic advice
Daschner, Stefan; Obermaier, Robert - In: Journal of decision systems 31 (2022), pp. 77-97
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013482678