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This paper reports the results of a behavioural finance experiment on the ability of Thai individuals to make informed investment decisions under a defined contribution self-management option. Using an asset allocation dataset from members of the Thai Government Pension Fund (TGPF) and a control...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013392
We survey clients of a German online bank to study retail investors' beliefs about the autocorrelation of annual returns of the aggregate stock market, and the role of these beliefs in financial decisions. A majority of our respondents believe in mean reversion of aggregate returns, and these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236158
In traditional economic models, memories of past experiences affect choices only to the extent that they represent information. We review recent advances in economic research that have introduced a role for long-lasting effects of personal past experiences and the memory thereof into economics....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014361390
This paper examines the life-cycle impact of preference factors as experience, loss aversion, and narrow framing on explaining the empirical low stock market participation, low stock share conditional on participation, and positive relationships between financial wealth and participation as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110076
We first provide evidence of some retail investors taking real trading (selling) decisions which are clearly sub-optimal even from an ex-ante perspective. We then show that these investors also exhibit stronger investment biases, namely, the disposition effect, underdiversification, preference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120317
We survey retail investors at an online bank to study beliefs about the autocorrelation of aggregate stock returns, and how these beliefs shape investment decisions measured in administrative account data. Individuals' beliefs exhibit substantial heterogeneity and predict trading responses to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307236
This research identifies a new source of failure to make accurate affective predictions or to make experientially optimal choices. When people make predictions or choices, they are often in the joint evaluation (JE) mode; when people actually experience an event, they are often in the single...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014026785
Recent years have witnessed a growing interest among psychologists and other social scientists in subjective wellbeing and happiness. Here we review selected contributions to this development from the literature on behavioral decision theory. In particular, we examine many, somewhat surprising,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014026787
Individuals frequently face intertemporal decisions. For the purposes of economic analysis, the preference parameters assumed to govern these decisions are generally considered to be stable economic primitives. However, evidence on the stability of time preferences is notably lacking. In a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133877
Money illusion refers to the tendency to evaluate economic transactions in nominal rather than real terms. One manifestation of this phenomenon is the tendency to neglect future inflation in intertemporal investment decisions. Empirical evidence for this “inflation ignorance” is hard to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900193