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This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590425
relationship between inequality of entitlements, mortality risk, and the size of redistribution in a stylized social security … system. We find that mortality risk, when negatively correlated with entitlements, significantly lowers subjects' willingness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013184496
relationship between inequality of entitlements, mortality risk, and the size of redistribution in a stylized social security … system. We find that mortality risk, when negatively correlated with entitlements, significantly lowers subjects’ willingness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013174148
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adjustment rule in three treatments where subjects (1) submit a price forecast only, (2) choose quantity to buy/sell and (3) perform both tasks. We find deviation of the market price from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333057
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191021
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants) and large markets (about 100 participants). In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
Experimental evidence shows that the rational expectations hypothesis fails to characterize the path to equilibrium after an exogenous shock when actions are strategic complements. Under identical shocks, however, repetition allows adaptive learning, so that inertia in adjustment should fade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842597
Experimental evidence shows that the rational expectations hypothesis fails to characterize the path to equilibrium after an exogenous shock when actions are strategic complements. Under identical shocks, however, repetition allows adaptive learning, so that inertia in adjustment should fade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842925
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001151576
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501327