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bias. Anchors ubiquitously reduce the forecasts' variance, while individual cognitive abilities and learning effects show …
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distorted on average. In the first 90 days after an IPO, this relative forecast bias even increases to 63 percentage points and …, 2009. Before this regulatory reform, the optimistic bias in post-IPO earnings forecasts is highly comparable across … for fiscal years further away from the forecast release date …
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's presence. Monetary incentives reduce the average bias to one-third of its original value. Additionally, the average anchor bias … abilities are on average less biased toward the anchor when task complexity is high. The anchoring bias in our repeated game is …
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groups more than forecasts by laypeople; I observe a home bias in all subject groups, which can be mitigated by information … signals; all subject groups expect lower forecast errors for financial professionals than for laypeople, hence I also find …
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