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We introduce a model of random ambiguity aversion. Choice is stochastic due to unobserved shocks to both information … and ambiguity aversion. This is modeled as a random set of beliefs in the maxmin expected utility model of Gilboa and … Schmeidler (1989). We characterize the model and show that the distribution of ambiguity aversion can be uniquely identified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587418
Among the reasons behind the choice behavior of an individual taking a stochastic form are her potential indifference or indecisiveness between certain alternatives, and/or her willingness to experiment in the sense of occasionally deviating from choosing a best alternative in order to give a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013273770
Many theories of updating under ambiguity assume either dynamic consistency or consequentialism to underpin … consequentialism than with dynamic consistency and that this result is even stronger among ambiguity averse subjects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011049819
Two rationality arguments are used to justify the link between conditional and unconditional preferences in decision theory: dynamic consistency and consequentialism. Dynamic consistency requires that ex ante contingent choices are respected by updated preferences. Consequentialism states that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003874793
I experimentally examine whether feedback about others' choices provides an anchor for decision-making under ambiguity … relative ambiguity attitude (compared to the peer's) significantly matters for shifts in individual attitudes, and that … dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364762
Decisions under ambiguity depend on the beliefs regarding possible scenarios and the attitude towards ambiguity. This … studies. We use laboratory experiments to estimate the subjective belief formation and belief updating process in an ambiguous … be rejected. The recovered belief updating rules reveal that the Bayesian updating hypothesis can be rejected for 84% of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012303335
updating rules are quite heterogeneous. For most subjects, we can reject the objective equality hypothesis that beliefs are … pessimism/optimism in beliefs. The Bayesian updating hypothesis can be rejected; Most subjects under-adjust beliefs in response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432016
regarding the realization likelihood of cash flows, the subjective attitude towards risk, and the attitude towards ambiguity …. While previous literature looks at the total price discount under ambiguity, this paper investigates with laboratory … belief effects, the risk premiums, and the ambiguity premiums from each other. Both methods lead to similar results: Overall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485093
Observed individual behavior in the presence of ambiguity is characterized by insufficient responsiveness to changes in … subjective likelihoods. Such likelihood insensitivity under ambiguity is integral to theoretical models and predictive of … and determining factors. This paper investigates the role of beliefs in the form of ambiguity perception - the extent to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013163191
Before choosing her action to match the state of the world, an agent observes a stream of messages generated by some unknown binary signal. The agent can either learn the underlying signal for free and update her belief accordingly or ignore the observed message and keep her prior belief. After...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014511689