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volatility and a deviation from equilibrium even in the long run. In a third treatment with staggered pricing we observe …, contrary to theoretical predictions, the one-round ahead (publicly known) shock is significant, but future inflation is not …. Our findings cast light on price dynamics when subjects have limited computational capacities. -- Inflation Persistence …
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We consider the classical investment timing problem in a framework where the instantaneous volatility of the project …), we consider processes of similar functional form, but with Heston stochastic volatility replacing the constant volatility … that compared to the classical cases with constant volatility, the question of whether additional stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114717
under alternative policy regimes. In our experimental economy, monetary policy targets inflation around a constant or state … communicating the state-dependent inflation targets reduce the duration or severity of economic crises. Introducing anticipated and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969982
largest effect, reducing volatility of individual price and expenditure forecasts by one-quarter and four-fifths, respectively …, and cutting a quarter of macroeconomic volatility. Forward-looking announcements have less effect on individual forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835263
inflation and the output gap by at least two-thirds. These stabilization benefits can be substantially smaller if expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257948
In many experiments, the Nash equilibrium concept seems not to predict well. One reason may be that players have non-selfish preferences over outcomes. As a consequence, even when they are told what the material payoffs of the game are, mutual knowledge of preferences may not be satisfied. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011644480
Experimental studies show that the Nash equilibrium and its refinements are poor predictors of behavior in non-cooperative strategic games. Cooperation models, such as ERC and inequality aversion, yield superior predictions compared to the standard game theory predictions. However, those models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252726
Establishing the external validity of experimental inflation forecasts is essential if laboratory experiments are to be … used as decision-making tools for monetary policy. Our contribution is to document whether different measures of inflation … information, suggesting the presence of some form of bounded rationality or information imperfections. Finally, lagged inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897871