Dong, Zibo; Yang, Dazhi; Reindl, Thomas; Walsh, Wilfred M. - In: Energy 55 (2013) C, pp. 1104-1113
We forecast high-resolution solar irradiance time series using an exponential smoothing state space (ESSS) model. To stationarize the irradiance data before applying linear time series models, we propose a novel Fourier trend model and compare the performance with other popular trend models...