Showing 1 - 10 of 1,010
Empirical evidence supports the conventional wisdom that entrepreneurs are more optimistic and overconfident than others. However, the same holds true for top managers. In this lab-in-the-field experiment we directly compare the scores of entrepreneurs, managers and employees on a comprehensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378220
Overconfidence is a well-established behavioral phenomenon that involves an overestimation of own capabilities. We introduce a model, in which managers and agents exert effort in a joint production, after the manager decides on the allocation of the tasks. A rational manager tends to delegate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571367
We present a selection of seminar slides based on our 2013 Quarterly Journal of Economics paper, "https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1640552" Managerial Miscalibration. Using a large panel of CFO forecasts of S&P 500 returns, we find that executives are severely miscalibrated,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860228
I consider the optimal contract for an overconfident manager in a principal-agent model with moral hazard where the contract is written on the earnings of the firm. Overconfidence causes the manager to overestimate his ability to affect the outcome of the firm. Overconfidence first reduces cost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844406
Can political leaders change constituents' beliefs? If so, is it rhetoric, identity, or the interaction of the two that matters? We construct a large-scale experiment where participants are exposed to anti-immigrant and pro-immigrant speeches from both Presidents Obama and Trump. We benchmark...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822086
Purpose of the study: This study aims to provide a conceptual framework and construction of executive narcissism (CEO) through content analysis of 52 reputable international journals of Scopus indexed (Q1). The aims also to explore valuable content and themes related to narcissistic accounting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823763
In this paper, I investigate the association of CEO personality and the difference of CEO and CFO personality on the level of cash holdings. Based on a sample of US publicly listed firms for 2002-2019, I find first that CEOs three personality traits (conscientiousness, extraversion and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238955
Using paper and pencil experiments administered in senior centers, we examine decision-making performance in multi-attribute decision problems. We differentiate the effects of declining cognitive performance and changing cognitive process on decision-making performance of seniors as they age. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115277
We study how managers respond to hurricane events when their firms are located in the neighborhood of the disaster area. We find that the sudden shock to the perceived liquidity risk leads managers to increase corporate cash holdings and to express more concerns about hurricane risk in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391950
Holmström?s (1982/99) career concerns model has become an important workhorse for the analysis of agency issues in many fields. The underlying signal jamming argument requires players to use information in a Bayesian way – which may or may not reasonably approximate real-life decision makers?...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262147