Jovanovic, Branimir; Petrovska, Magdalena - Narodna Banka na Republika Makedonija - 2010
We evaluate the forecasting performance of six different models for short-term forecasting of Macedonian GDP: 1) ARIMA model; 2) AR model estimated by the Kalman filter; 3) model that explains Macedonian GDP as a function of the foreign demand; 4) small structural model that links GDP components...