The ability of forecast the S&P500 is inconsistent with the notion of efficient markets. this established wisdom has come under attack in the past few years, from such concepts as noise trading. A Potential problem with noise trading, however, is that there are no tools to inform inormation of...

The modelling and forecasting of exchange rates and their volatility has important implications for many issues in economics and finance. This paper compares the ability of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity, Autoregressive and Mean models to forecast the magnitude of change in 19...