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This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the factor model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274409
This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the factor model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277729
We present a medium-scale dynamic factor model to estimate and forecast the rate of growth of the Spanish economy in the very short term. The intermediate size of the model overcomes the serious specification problems associated with large scale-models and the implicit loss of information of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317084
This study evaluates forecasting performance of a large-scale factor model developed in Siliverstovs and Kholodilin (2012) in a genuine ex ante forecasting exercise. We perform our forecast of GDP growth in Switzerland in real time using real-time data vintages collected at weekly frequency....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319722
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indicators are used to nowcast each expenditure component of GDP. The nowcasting framework is found to be a valuable tool in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126572
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2018. The DFM methodology offers a powerful and tractable means of nowcasting economic growth while accounting for mixed … content for GDP growth in India, a novel result from the viewpoint of the existing nowcasting literature. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110450
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