This paper examines the linkage between economic activity and tax revenues for New York State and New York City. Drawing upon the methodology of Stock and Watson, we use a dynamic single-factor model to estimate indexes of coincident economic indicators. We also construct measures of the sales...

The authors develop indexes of leading economic indicators for New York State and New Jersey over the 1972-99 period. They find that the leading indexes convey useful information about the future course of economic activity in both states. The authors then construct separate indexes to forecast...

The New York-New Jersey region entered a pronounced downturn in 2008, but the pace of decline eased considerably in spring 2009 and then leveled off in July, according to three key Federal Reserve Bank of New York economic indexes. These developments, in conjunction with a growing consensus that...

The authors develop two coincident indexes that provide a comprehensive measure of economic activity in New Jersey, New York State, and New York City.

Remarks at the New York Bankers Association Financial Services Forum, New York City.

Remarks at the Quarterly Regional Economic Press Briefing, New York City.

Remarks at the Regional Economic Press Briefing, New York City.

Remarks at the Whitman School of Management at Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York.

Remarks at the Quarterly Regional Economic Press Briefing, New York City.

Remarks at Queens Chamber of Commerce and Queens Economic Development Corporation, Flushing, New York City.