The authors develop indexes of leading economic indicators for New York State and New Jersey over the 1972-99 period. They find that the leading indexes convey useful information about the future course of economic activity in both states. The authors then construct separate indexes to forecast...

Information about the national economy is typically available well before information about the regional economy. For example, national employment data are usually released about a month before data for individual states, and the state data are often revised subsequently, resulting in a lag of...

The Tenth District economy slowed down in 1998, with employment growing marginally below the national average. Despite very tight labor markets, employment growth remained healthy in many sectors. Construction; trade; transportation, communications, and public utilities; and finance, insurance, and...

Remarks before the Texas A&M Retailing Summit, Dallas, Texas, October 7, 2011 ; "We have filled the gas tanks of the economy with affordable liquidity. What is needed now is for employers to confidently step on the pedal and engage the transmission that will use that fuel to move the great...

Remarks before the Texas A&M Retailing Summit, Dallas, Texas, October 7, 2011 ; "We have filled the gas tanks of the economy with affordable liquidity. What is needed now is for employers to confidently step on the pedal and engage the transmission that will use that fuel to move the great...

The authors develop two coincident indexes that provide a comprehensive measure of economic activity in New Jersey, New York State, and New York City.

Upstate New York may have shown signs of a turnaround in 1997 and 1998, but its economic performance is still well below that of the nation and New York State as a whole.

While the impacts of the Asian financial turmoil on the United States have been widely discussed and studied, few analysts have looked at the likely impact on the Tenth District Economy. Gazel and Lamb examine the negative impacts of the Asian financial turmoil on the Tenth District and find...