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The U.S. Subprime Crisis and the subsequent Great Recession have highlighted a renewed interest in the proper design and implementation of Early Warning Systems (E.W.S.), in order to help deter the onset of subsequent extreme financial events, through the implementation of adequate crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558512
important for analyzing and forecasting economic activity. Since financial stress is not directly observable but is presumably …-of-sample forecasting accuracy for real GDP growth in Germany compared to a model without the indicator and other forecast benchmarks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365865
The U.S. Subprime Crisis and the subsequent Great Recession have highlighted a renewed interest in the proper design and implementation of Early Warning Systems (E.W.S.), in order to help deter the onset of subsequent extreme financial events, through the implementation of adequate crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347094
Financial losses can have persistent effects on the financial sy stem. This paper proposes an empirical measure for the duration of these effects, S pillover P ersistence. I d ocument that Spillover Persistence is strongly correlated with financial c onditions; d uring b anking crises, Spillover...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015199543
This paper studies optimal time-consistent macroprudential policy in a model with endogenous capital formation. Previous studies on optimal time-consistent macroprudential policy in economies where borrowing is limited by the value of collateral assume that aggregate capital is fixed or apply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015202305
We propose the CoJPoD, a novel framework explicitly linking the cross-sectional and cyclical dimensions of systemic risk. In this framework, banking sector distress in the form of the joint probability of default of financial intermediaries (reflecting contagion from both direct and indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278517
Nicht zuletzt nach Ausbruch der Covid-19-Pandemie stand die Stabilität des deutschen Bankensystems als integraler Bestandteil des nationalen Finanzsystems unter besonderer Beobachtung. Entscheidend für die Finanzstabilität ist die Frage, ob die Banken ausreichend gegen Stresseffekte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476151
The stability of the German banking system, in its capacity as an integral component of the country's financial system, has come under particular scrutiny, not least since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Financial stability hinges on whether banks are sufficiently resilient to stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476339
Motivated by the current discussion on different separate banking systems, we provide an overview of the different systems, question them and outline their effect on systemic stability and the German banking sector. The results show that the various separate banking systems only play a minor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311776
The experience in the period during and after the Asian crisis of 1997-98 has provoked an extensive debate about the credit rating agencies' evaluation of sovereign risk in emerging markets lending. This study analyzes the role of credit rating agencies in international financial markets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311992