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The understanding of how allocation decisions can maximise the economic returns to the community from water for irrigation has received little attention, but is a significant issue for regional councils, those interested in water allocation policy development, and for irrigated farmers. There is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443714
We theoretically examine a farmer’s coverage demand with area and individual insurance plans as either separate or integrated options. The individual and area losses are assumed to be imperfectly and positively correlated. With actuarially fair rates, the farmer will fully insure with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444568
Commodity and energy prices have exhibited an unprecedented increase between October 2006 and July 2008, only to fall sharply during the last months of 2008. Many explanations have been offered to this phenomenon, including steadily increasing demand from China and India, large mandated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444738
Recently gravity trade models are applied to disaggregated trade data. Here many zeros arecharacteristic. In the presence of excess zeros usual Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood(PPML) is still consistent, the variance covariance matrix however is invalid. Correcteconomic interpretation however...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446184
We study the difference in the volatility dynamics of CBOT corn, soybeans, and oatsfutures prices across different delivery horizons via the smoothed Bayesian estimatorof Karali, Dorfman, and Thurman (2010). We show that the futures price volatilitiesin these markets are affected by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446386
The paper examines empirical returns from holding thirty- and ninety-day call and put positions,and the forecasting performance of implied volatility in the live and feeder cattle optionsmarkets. In both markets, implied volatility is an upwardly biased and inefficient predictor ofrealized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446388
Grain prices have risen sharply since 2005 and 2006 affecting livestock markets by increasingfeed prices and leading to significant volatility shocks. The high price levels and magnitude ofsustained high volatilities has raised concerns for many sectors of the economy, in particularthose with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446389
Taken together, studies that examine how well commodity futures marketsperform find that risk premiums are common—and so unbiasedness is not—and marketsare not uniformly efficient across commodities or forecast horizons. This large body ofresearch sheds important light on whether and to what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446390
Futures prices when combined with a basis forecast provide a reliable way to forecast cashprices. The most popular method of forecasting basis is historical moving averages. Given therecent failure of longer moving averages proposed by previous studies, this research reassessespast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446394
According to both international and Hungarian accounting standards milk quota shall be capitalised among the assets of the enterprises. It is necessary for the implementation of the activity; its value can be defined based on market processes and regulations of the authorities. Due to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446441