Stock picking is the field of financial analysis that is of particular interest for many professional investors and researchers. In this study stock picking is implemented via binary classification trees. Optimal tree size is believed to be the crucial factor in forecasting performance of the...

There has been considerable research into dynamic global tactical asset allocation (GTAA) strategies driven by simple measures of Valuation and Momentum applied to a baseline balanced portfolio of equities and fixed income (see Blitz and van Vliet 2008, Wang and Kochard 2011, Gnedenko and Yelnik...

In the past 20 years, momentum or trend following strategies have become an established part of the investor toolbox. We introduce a new way of analyzing momentum strategies by looking at the information ratio (IR, average return divided by standard deviation). We calculate the theoretical IR of...

ESG ratings as a stock screener for downside protection can be significantly improved when combined with sentiment indicators derived from news and social media. Following a statistical approach, consisting in evaluating thousands of long-only monthly-rebalanced random portfolios, we find...

For a market with m assets and T discrete trading sessions, Cover and Ordentlich (1998) found that the “Cost of Achieving the Best Rebalancing Rule in Hindsight” is p(T, m) = _{n₁ ···^Σ n_m=T} (n₁,^T...,n_m)(n₁/T)(n₁ · · · (n_m/T)^n_m. Their super-replicating strategy is impossible to compute...

The financial economics literature proposes dozens of performance measures to be used, for instance, to compare, analyze, rank and select assets. There is thus a problem: which measures should be considered? The authors extend the current literature by comparing a large set of performance...

The financial economics literature proposes dozens of performance measures to be used, for instance, to compare, analyse, rank and select assets. There is thus a problem: which measures should be considered? We extend the current literature by comparing a large set of performance measures over...

This paper offers a plausible response to "what explains the sporadic volatility in the price of Bitcoin?" We hypothesized that market "fundamentals" and "information demands" are key drivers of Bitcoin’s unpredictable price fluctuation. We adopt the transfer-function [Autoregressive...

We present a detailed study of the performance of a trading rule that uses moving average of past returns to predict future returns on stock indexes. Our main goal is to link performance and the stochastic process of the traded asset. Our study reports short, medium and long term effects by...

The financial economics literature proposes dozens of performance measures to be used, for instance, to compare, analyze, rank and select assets. There is thus a problem: which measures should be considered? The authors extend the current literature by comparing a large set of performance...