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Appendix is available at: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=3395415" https://ssrn.com/abstract=3395415Identifying firm connections by shared analyst coverage, we find that a connected-firm (CF) momentum factor generates a monthly alpha of 1.68% (t = 9.67). In spanning regressions, the alphas of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901408
Extending price momentum tests to the longest available histories of global financial assets, including country equities, government bonds, currencies, commodities, sectors and U.S. stocks, we create a 215-year history of cross-sectional multi-asset momentum, and confirm the significance of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971740
The same firm characteristics that help explain cross-sectional variation in expected stock returns, such as size, book-to-market and the earnings yield, also help explain cross-sectional variation in returns to trading in option-implied stock return volatility. This empirical phenomenon is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855869
This study examines the relative importance of percentage change in price-to-earnings ratio (PE), percentage change in dividend yield (DY) and change in aggregate Tobin's q ratio (∆TBQ) in forecasting returns on the S&P 500 (SP). The results from the variance decomposition analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063495
Tests of excessive volatility along the lines of Shiller (1981) and Leroy and Porter (1981) count among the most convincing pieces of evidence against the validity of the time-honored efficient market hypothesis. Recently, using Shiller s distinction between ex-ante rational (fundamental) price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214509
The profitability of analysts' recommendations is documented in numerous studies from all over the world. However, the evidence from the Polish market is relatively modest. The primary aim of this study is to fill this gap. The paper contributes to the economic literature in four ways. First, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011393259
The performance of analysts’ forecasts has attracted increasing attention in recent years. However, as yet, no empirical study has investigated the nexus between the analyst forecast dispersion (AFD) and excess returns surrounding stock market crashes in any depth. This paper attempts to fill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556115
We test the implications of anchoring bias associated with forecast earnings per share (FEPS) for forecast errors, earnings surprises, stock returns, and stock splits. We find that analysts make optimistic (pessimistic) forecasts when a firm's FEPS is lower (higher) than the industry median....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092369
Analysts follow disproportionally firms whose fundamentals correlate more with those of their industry peers. This coverage pattern supports models of profit-maximizing information intermediaries producing preferentially information valuable in pricing more stocks. We designate highly followed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976655
One highly documented method to test a capital market for weak form efficiency is to identify the return predictability of technical trading rules in that market. Studies on these tests are fewer in number in emerging markets than that of in developed markets and most of the tests have drawn...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026509