Showing 1 - 10 of 660
We examine the impact of IFRS reporting flexibility on the presentation of income statements after the adoption of IFRS and whether this affects analysts' forecasts. We find that 44.7 percent (42.02 percent) of first-time IFRS adopters exhibit an average marginal increase (decrease) of 2,584...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362421
We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003785005
This paper sheds new light on a long-standing puzzle in the international finance literature, namely, that exchange rate expectations appear inaccurate and even irrational. We find for a comprehensive dataset that individual forecasters' performance is skill-based. 'Superior' forecasters show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832110
This paper examines heterogeneity in exchange rate expectations. Whereas agents' heterogeneity is key in modern exchange rate models, evidence on determinants of heterogeneity is weak so far. Our sample, covering expectations from about 300 forecasters over 15 years, shows remarkable time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003805988
We develop an agent-based financial market model in which agents follow technical and fundamental trading rules to determine their speculative investment positions. A central feature of our model is that we consider direct interactions between speculators due to which they may decide to change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003811632
This study seeks to explore, how market efficiency changes, if ordinary traders receive fundamental news more or less often. We show that longer temporal information gaps lead to fewer but larger shocks and a reduction of the average noise level on the dynamics. The consequences of these effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003825276
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003880516
The authors study a simple model of an asset market with informed and non-informed agents. In the absence of non-informed agents, the market becomes information efficient when the number of traders with different private information is large enough. Upon introducing non-informed agents, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003914180
We document that investors can actually profit from the contemporaneous link between earnings accuracy and recommendation profitability (Loh and Mian (2006)). Differentiating between "able" and "lucky" analysts we suggest an implementable, i.e. look-ahead bias free, trading strategy that yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008696828
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of stock recommendations in returns and trading volumes. Unlike previous research we have investigated the five most usual types of recommendations: buy, outperform, hold, underperform and sell. The methodology we propose is also different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974685