Showing 1 - 10 of 48
Population ageing constitutes a central challenge to Finland. Understanding the Finnish economy's likely future trajectory and the key sources of growth is important for the design of policies to counteract these adverse long-term trends. For this purpose, we develop a novel long-run forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745160
ENGLISH ABSTRACT: To date, there has been significant research completed on the topic of corporate financial distress. Two pioneering researchers in the field of predicting financial distress was Beaver in 1966 and Altman in 1968. More recent research, based on companies listed on the JSE has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442208
The paper deals with the geographies of the European economic crisis that had its origins in the global financial crisis of 2008-09. The crisis pushed many European economies into a deep recession and caused a mass unemployment in many countries. The crisis is analysed in a monetary economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340775
This paper shows that the monetary policy paradigm that was in place before the financial crisis worked very well and that the crisis occurred only after policy makers deviated from that paradigm. The paper also evaluates monetary policy during the financial crisis by dividing the crisis into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430849
Unlike the crisis years of 2007-2009 (when the insolvency of large banks was a major problem), the current round of the global financial crisis has fiscal origins. Almost all developed countries suffer from an excessive public debt burden that has been built up over the last two decades or more....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430901
This paper proposes a general statistical framework for systemic financial stress indexes. Several existing index designs can be represented as special cases. We introduce a daily variant of the ECB's CISS for the euro area and the US. The CISS aggregates a representative set of stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012623092
This dissertation was written by Christopher Weber during his time as a research assistant at the Center for Economic Studies (CES) at the Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität (LMU) Munich. It was handed in at the department of Economics at the LMU Munich in July 2016. The goal of the thesis is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011741966
The goal of this thesis is twofold: it aims, firstly, at a description of cycles in SouthAfrican financial variables and, secondly, at the evaluation of the relationshipbetween cycles in financial variables and the South African business cycle. The studyis based on the original business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442149
excellence, a more sophisticated system-level decision-making process with a more accurate forecasting support system to manage … overall process. The process includes a forecasting system to provide information for planning for uncertainty. A new … forecasting method is proposed, which utilizes a synergy of several modeling techniques properly combined at different time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476053
econometric techniques incorporating accounting and macroeconomic variables. For the modelling and forecasting are selected items …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009478237